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As Bernanke Gears Up To
Deleverage
the $2.27 Trillion
"Fed Hedge Fund" Balance Sheet...
Savvy Investors Could Profit Handsomely... Starting in Just About 30-Days....
Dear Investor,
In the crisp, late night quietness of February, as I sit here at my desk trading currencies, I just can't seem to get one thing out of my mind... It's sort of a truth of markets that only full time traders really know...
I'm talking about one of the greatest secrets of investing...
What I'm talking about is this, "When the majority are expecting a certain event to unfold within markets...it almost never does."
Here's the thing. . . It's rare traders have the opportunity to take a position with the Federal Reserve, meaning taking a position at the perfect place in time, at pristine price levels, where clear institutional support resides. . .
By "institutional support", we really mean, "at levels where if the Federal Reserve doesn't step into markets, America's Central Bank fails. . ."
"Whether the Fed’s activities will be inflationary will importantly depend on its success in unwinding the reserves as the economy returns to full employment. With an unusually large volume of reserves and having entered into uncharted territory, the Fed will need to be particularly skillful in managing the reduction in reserves."
The Extraordinary Actions taken by the
Federal Reserve to Address the
Economic and Financial Crisis
June, 2009 - Page 9
This evening, as I (literally) sifted through hundreds of pages of research, I kept noticing one very evident theme surfacing from media and pundits lately... It seems many are convinced the forthcoming weaning of the financial system off Government-handout easy-credit will undoubtedly cause the monetary system to "all-out" implode.
Really, the US Armageddon argument is more than just valid... It's downright scary.
"What I want to get is to stop taxpayer
support for speculative activity”
Paul Volker
Tuesday, February 3, 2010
Capitol Hill Testimony
After all, economics 101 tells us, when we expand the money supply quicker than the supply of goods... Ugly old inflation usually rolls into town. What's more, given the United States' national debt is nearing levels where the word "unsustainable" is now surfacing regularly within media, it's certainly understandable why the investing public likely feels a bit jittery right now...
Toss in headlines of the possible deterioration of the credit quality of US Treasuries, a beaten down greenback and at the same time, the seemingly overwhelming Federal Reserve balance sheet, it's pretty understandable why markets have pulled back off highs lately.
Case in point, on January 14, 2010 Reuters mentioned, "By the end of March, the Fed plans to have bought $1.25 trillion worth of mortgage-backed securities and about $175 billion worth of agency debt."
The question for so many though, is what does the above information even mean to markets anyway?
"Although banks may be content at the moment to hold a trillion dollars idle as excess reserves each day, one would suppose and hope that this will change as the economy recovers. But the resulting multiple expansion of credit and withdrawal of the reserves as currency would be impressively inflationary-- the $1.1 trillion in credits for cash currently held by banks is a bigger number than the cumulative sum of green currency that the Federal Reserve has delivered to banks week after week since its inception a century ago, and exceeds by a factor of 100 the levels of excess reserves that banks held three years ago."
James Hamiliton Ph.D Economics
Library of Economics and Liberty
See most "common sense" investors likely -intuitively- know leveraging one's account 50-to-1, 100-to-1, 200-to-1, or even 400-to-1, is very, very dangerous.
What I'm getting at is this... What if one of the world's largest central banks was leveraged almost the same amount...upwards of 40 to 1...would you be concerned about the stability of the nation's markets? How about the larger economy?
"As most of us already know, the Fed will conclude its planned purchases of $1.25 trillion in Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) in March. The problem is that according to the St. Louis Federal Reserve, Mr. Bernanke is responsible for 90% of the purchases of all newly issued agency MBS. That means the Fed is the securitization market for mortgages."
James Hamiliton Ph.D Economics
Library of Economics and Liberty
By "institutional support", we really mean, "at levels where if the Federal Reserve doesn't step into markets, America and/or the Federal Reserve...fail. Really...
But the situation is even more tricky... In the December 2009 publication A Call to Action to Stem the Mounting Federal Debt, the bipartisan, non-profit The Committee for a Responsible Budget wrote, "Under the Commission’s fiscal baseline, the public debt is expected to grow to 85 percent of GDP by 2018. Beyond 2018, the situation will deteriorate with the debt surpassing 100 percent of GDP in 2022 and reaching 200 percent in 2038."
No Joke . . . It's really happening. . . And it's happening right now. . .
Just to make sure we're not confusing terms, the United States national debt is total owed to creditors, based on the deficit.
The Committee for a Responsible Budget mentions, "It [national debt] does not increase by the exact amount of the deficit, but deficits are the primary factor. The debt can also rise or fall because of changes in the Treasury’s operating cash balance, the exercise of sovereign monetary power, federal credit financing, and federal financial stabilization activities."
On January 12, 2010, a small 306-word article appeared on the back page of The Wall Street Journal by staff writer Peter Eavis, which as usual, mainstream media completely ignored. . .
Listen to what the article said...
"The Fed's asset purchases did help avert a possible depression. But they've also weakened the dollar, fueled frothy assets markets, and stopped long-overdue adjustments to the economy and financial system.
They could also stoke inflation if maintained too long. If these cons start to obviously outweigh the pros, the Fed's policies could quickly be discredited.
And since printing money is the last trick in its bag, its failure would take the central bank into dark, uncharted territory."
The Wall Street Journal
The Fed's Power of Press
January 12, 2010
The bottom line here is in the short-term... The Federal Reserve simply cannot continue to take on the extraordinary amount of risk currently residing on its balance sheet and thus, must begin unwinding some of its most risky positions, or effect monetary policy to keep some of its assets from being wiped out. . .
What we're talking about is a huge opportunity to move with the Fedge Fund as it reallocates its portfolio over the next month, in preparation for the supposed end of its run purchasing Mortgage Backed Securities.
What so many are failing to understand though... Is this not a doom and gloom situation and the Federal Reserve isn't likely to fail either... In reality... What if they Federal Reserve had a plan in place all along, to unload some of its balance sheet...
And then what if, it was about to fill it up all over again?
As of the second week of February 2010, what we're talking about is likely about to commence in just about thirty days...
"As it unwinds its huge reserve balances, the Fed will also face considerable challenges of timing. If it starts to withdraw stimulus when the unemployment rate is still high and rising, there could be political problems.
However, because reserve balances feed into the money supply and thus economic activity with a lag, the Fed will most likely have to start unwinding its reserves before signs of solid recovery are apparent, in order to avoid inflationary pressures on the upside and the need then to overtighten.
In recognition of the difficulties of this high wire act coming down the road, Fed officials have also recognized the importance of maintaining their credibility as inflation fighters and appear to have started a campaign to anchor inflationary expectations.
The Extraordinary Actions taken by the Federal Reserve
to Address the Economic and Financial Crisis
June, 2009 | Page 10 | http://crfb.org/
See, because interest rates are nearly at zero right now, the Fed has painted itself into a corner. . .
The one thing the Federal Reserve cannot do right now... Is raise interest rates... Mortgage markets would implode...
News of this situation is starting to trickle into markets, though you'd have to be looking very closely to spot it. . .
Again, on January 12, 2010, a small 306-word article appeared on the back page of The Wall Street Journal stating:
"The Fed's asset purchases did help avert a possible depression. But they've also weakened the dollar, fueled frothy assets markets, and stopped long-overdue adjustments to the economy and financial system.
They could also stoke inflation if maintained too long. If these cons start to obviously outweigh the pros, the Fed's policies could quickly be discredited.
And since printing money is the last trick in its bag, its failure would take the central bank into dark, uncharted territory."
The Wall Street Journal
The Fed's Power of Press
January 12, 2010
You did just read the words: "its failure" specifically in relation to the Federal Reserve. . .right now.
Here's what the author is talking about:
Because the Federal Reserve has currently leveraged its assets to the blowout tune of 43 times its capital, an itty 3% decline in US Treasuries and Fannie Mae | Freddie Mac (with the Dow around 10,800) would completely erase the Federal Reserve's gains from the face of the earth. . .
Goldman Sachs, the world's most elite investment bank won't leverage its assets more than 15-times capital, just to show you how dangerous the Fed's current predicament is. . .
"The Fed should be engaging in ordinary open market operations, which means buying Treasuries. The only reason to buy anything other than Treasuries would be if it ran out of Treasuries to buy and still could not meet its overall target--whether that target is for the money supply, nominal GDP, or some weighted average of inflation and unemployment.
When the Fed instead is selling Treasuries or paying interest on reserves in order to sterilize the effect of buying other stuff, it is not being a central bank. It is being a piggy bank."
James Hamiliton Ph.D Economics
Library of Economics and Liberty
Consequently, the Federal Reserve currently has a vested stake in ensuring markets move in lock step to keep its own balance sheet from completely imploding. . .
"We no longer live in a world in which central bank policies are
confined to adjusting the short-term interest rate. Instead, by using
their balance sheets, the Federal Reserve and other central banks are
developing new tools to ease financial conditions and support
economic growth."
Dr. Ben S. Bernanke, Chairman
Federal Reserve Board of Governors
Traders and Investors who understand the situation at hand right now have the chance to lock in triple-digit profits within 30-days to three months, as the real "risk aversion" play commences in US and global markets.
We already know... The Fed's proposed solutions are: 1. Raise interest rates on reserves to entice banks to park cash (at an attractive rate) with the Federal Reserve 2. Increase and expand its issuance of "Reverse Repos." 3. Commence with the new Term Deposit Facility
But just take a look at what showed up nearly nine months ago, but has been long forgotten from markets...
"The Fed and Treasury will also seek legislation to give the Fed additional tools to manage the reserve levels.
Details are not yet clear, although increasing liquidity management tools by giving the Fed authority to issue its own debt (so-called “Fed bills”) or allowing Treasury to issue debt on its behalf are thought to be under consideration."
The Extraordinary Actions taken by the Federal Reserve
to Address the Economic and Financial Crisis
June 2009 | Page 10
We're talking about. . .
- 512% possible gains in one currency poised to storm forward. . .
- 128% surge in one currency option padded for time-risk, allowing investors plenty of time for trade to work out.
- 18.1% burst in a straight ETF play for those who prefer stocks over Options and Forex trading.
The Foxes Overleveraged the Hen House
The US Economic recovery is in an incredibly fragile state right now, given the Federal Reserve completely has its hands tied with the total and complete oversaturation of the money supply. . .
In fact, the US Senate is expected to raise America's debt ceiling to $1.9 trillion in the last weeks of January 2010. . .
The President is even now talking about "reducing the national debt" because he knows the United States is in big, big trouble. . .
Here's the kicker. . .
Even though fourth quarter advance GDP just clocked in at 5.7%, don't get too excited. . .
Economics 101 says a country cannot expand the money supply quicker than the supply of goods; otherwise, inflation rears up like an angry dog, starved for weeks on end.
What we're talking about is not pretty, as inflation that is due to too much money being pumped into the economy, while at the same time GDP Growth is NOT consummate with the liquidity being pumped into markets. . .
"There is no question that the United States is on an unsustainable fiscal path. The consequences are serious for public policy, the economy, and the standard of living of the American people. Structural deficits will remain even as the economy recovers from the current deep recession and the debt is on a course to reach levels never experienced in the United States. While it was necessary to ramp up deficit spending to stem the recent sharp decline in the economy, the United States must adopt a plan to stabilize the debt immediately and take the first steps down that path very soon."
Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget
See, there's a thing in markets called a "base effect", which is really the base-line whereby year-over-year numbers are measured. . .
The problem is because commodities and markets fell through the floor in late 2008 and early 2009, inflation numbers are now being measured against extremely low prices of the fourth quarter 2009 and the first two quarters of 2010.
The "base effect" means inflation is about to kick up, which media will be all over. . .because, well. . . that's just what they do. . .
The issue is. . .to thwart inflation, the central bank must either reign in the money supply, or raise rates. . . Sliming the money supply (liquidity) means utilizing reverse-repos, a short-term banking money tool, selling assets into markets, or raising rates, all of which could hurt consumers and indexes. . .
Moreover, in the current market, raising rates would kill any hope of economic recovery, as mortgage rates rocket, while credit comes to even more of a standstill.
Do you see this horrible predicament here?
The main issue is when the US first began pumping cash into the economy (and banks) the money never made it to consumers, small businesses, or virtually any of the middle class. . . Only big-banks and corporations got rich from the "stimulus," while the little guy. . .got a big fat helping of nothing. . .
As the recovery is on VERY frail ground, it's hard to believe the Federal Reserve has overleveraged itself to a point where equity markets could very well struggle desperately with any attempt to move higher. . . Let me explain. . . See, bonds (Treasuries) trade inverse to stocks, meaning when stocks rise, bond prices fall and vice versa. . . Because the Federal Reserve has overloaded itself with bonds AND stocks, the central bank has really painted itself into a corner. . . If bonds fall, the Federal Reserve's gains are wiped out. . . Keep in mind, when bonds fall, stocks go up. . . Do you see what I'm saying. . . Stocks are at a point where the Federal Reserve can't afford to see equity markets move much higher. . .
"The hope is that those investors will supplant the Fed once they exit the MBS market. But if private investors no longer participate in the Treasury market to the same extent as before, then prices will fall and rates will rise on U.S. debt. If the spread between mortgage rates and Treasuries remains the same, then rates on mortgages must rise too. Given the link between the real estate market and the economy, the move higher in Treasury yields and mortgage rates will be a huge drag on home prices and economic growth. And since Ben Bernanke fears deflation much more than inflation, the chances are very high he will wait until the full outcome from exiting the MBS market is realized, which will be measured in months not days."
Michael Pento, December 22, 2009.
Delta Global Advisors
Why the Fed Will be Sidelined in 2010
With the Dow near 113-year fair value (near 11,000, with a century-average PE ratio of 15.5), fresh highs for stocks would mean new lows for bond prices, which in-turn would indicate premium deterioration of the Federal Reserve's massive positions is purchased throughout 2008 and 2009. . .
The Federal Reserve is no longer an impartial third-party regulator of banks and monetary policy, the central bank has become a speculator, just like any other schmooze attempting to make money in markets. . . When the central bank suddenly has a stake in the outcome (direction) of markets (to pad its own stock and bond positions) clearly, the situation is nothing more than a case of the fox running the hen house.
If you feel like markets are a mess right now, you're not alone. . .
Good afternoon traders, please allow me a moment to introduce myself. . . My name is Mark Whistler; I am a full-time trader, the author of seven books and the founder of WallStreetRockStar.com and fxVolatility.com.
My books include:
- Volatility Illuminated: Empowering Stocks, Futures, Forex & Options Traders (CreateSpace, 2009)
- 2034 The Corporation Post 2012 (CreateSpace, 2009)
- Swing Trader's Bible (John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 2009) co-authored with Matt McCall
- Trade With Passion and Purpose (John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 2007)
- Trading Pairs (Wiley, 2004)
- Profit from China (Investment U/Wiley, 2006)
- Profit from Uranium (Investment U/Wiley, 2006.)
You may have seen me on CNBC, or perhaps you might have caught one of my recent global trading Webinars on fxStreet.com, arguably the world's largest Forex source for retail traders.
Again, please understand that I am a full time trader. . .
I do not receive a "salary" from any employers whatsoever. . . My income comes from my books and trading for a living.
- I'm not an analyst who lives in a bubble - who never trades real money, and thus hasn't a clue about how markets really work.
- I'm not a pundit who constantly squawks on television, but has never really traded for a living and thus. . .makes bogus calls.
- I'm not a broker and have no affiliation with any brokerages whatsoever.
- I'm not a newsletter writer sitting in an office, trying to find a "hot pick" to recommend to readers. . .that I wouldn't be willing to put my own risk capital behind.
In short, reader, I've been around this business for almost 15 years and I've seen it all.
- I've seen big-mouth newsletter writers claim "market guru" status, but really couldn't trade their way out of a paper bag.
- I've seen -first hand- television producers tell pundits to "hype it up", attempting to create synthetic buzz in markets.
- I've seen book authors and newsletters literally rip off ideas, because they're too worthless to come up with their own.
- I've seen "market pros" tell the investing public to "buy now!" on the precise day the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped underneath 10,000 in October 2008 - and then lost almost 30% more in the following three months.
- I've seen so much bad stuff in markets that I'm absolutely determined to be one of the last good guys around.
- I've decided to start bringing truths of markets to investors and traders, no matter how much backlash I receive from colleagues, analysts, newsletters, and media.
Why Volatility Illuminated is so Powerful?
I've just spent the past five years writing Volatility Illuminated - a 377 page book specifically geared to help you understand why and how technicals are built for failure in today's market, while also showing precisely how to help put the odds of markets and trading back in your corner again.
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I've developed several custom MetaTrader indicators that come with Volatility Illuminated. . .
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I personally use these indicators EVERY DAY.
With your Volatility Illuminated e-Book, you will also receive my Custom Indicator Package containing:
The indicators are based in statistics, probability and physics. . .
One indicator, Whistler Active Volatility Energy Price Mass (WAVE PM) measures energy within markets, and is based on Newton's Second Law of Motion. . .
Specifically, Force = Mass * Acceleration.
Don't worry though, the indicators are EASY TO UNDERSTAND and EASY TO USE. I've built them so any trader can put them to work right now.
I personally use these indicators EVERY DAY.
With your Volatility Illuminated e-Book, you will also receive my Custom Indicator Package containing:
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- Brand New Indicator: * Whistler Active Volatility Energy ~ Price Mass WAVE-PM
- Brand New Indicator * Whistler Volume Adjusted Volatility ~ WVAV
- Brand New Indicator: * Whistler Active Volatility Energy Acceleration Map ~ WAVE-AM
- Duel CCI Volatility Indicator with Quad CCI Containment Zone Strategy for Intraday Traders
Eight (8) Custom Volatility Trading Templates Including:
- WAVE IOFS ~ Whistler Active Volume Energy - Institutional Order Flow Signal ~ template
- WAVE -PM ~ Whistler Active Volatility Energy - Price Mass ~ template
- WAVE IOFS ~ Whistler Active Volume Energy Acceleration Map ~ template
- WAVE CCIS ~ Whistler Active Volatility Energy - Quad Commodity Channel Signal ~ template
- WVAV ~ Whistler Volume Adjusted Volatility ~ template
- 3 Trend Manager Price Mass | Containment Zone Intraday Trader's templates
To recap, with your 377-page Volatility Illuminated eBook, you will also receive - totally free - 4 brand new indicators (coded for MetaTrader, a FREE trading and charting platform) and 8 custom volatility templates to start trading with right now. . .
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Again, that's 32-hours of FREE LIVE WEBINARS, the eBook, 4-Custom Indicators AND 8-Trading Templates for just $99.99.
That breaks down to just $6.19 per Webinar, NOT including all of the other material, which is COMPLETELY free.
By the end of Volatility Illuminated, readers hold new information about indicator and information failure, volatility and probability, institutional orderflow(VWAP), mass, energy and force in markets and distributions all pulled together in a simple, understandable format and methodology. . .
- 377-Page eBook: Volatility Illuminated.
- Free Bonus: 4-Custom indicators "ready built" for MetaTrader.
- Free Bonus: 8-Custom templates - ready for you start trading with right now.
- Free Bonus: EIGHT WEEKS of LIVE FREE TRADING WEBINARS - To help
you understand Volatility Illuminated and my new volatility methods.
Each week, I will host two - two-hour Webinars for Volatility
Illuminated eBook customers ONLY. I've scheduled the Webinars for
Wednesday's from 6:00 PM EST to 8:00 PM EST and Sunday's from 5:00
PM EST to 7:00 PM EST - Come trade the open each week with us. . .
Please note the first Webinar in the series starts on Wednesday, February 24, 2010 at 6:00 PM EST
In addition, readers will learn the importance of subset distribution compression, expansion, acceleration, force and mass, all pulled together in a simple, easy-to-understand format. Volatility Illuminated elucidates critical underpinnings of market volatility and price action, which many never discover. Volatility Illuminated is timely, empowering, applicable, and can help traders understand erratic movements within markets once and for all.
There's even more to the story though. . . On top of the Webinars, eBook, 4 custom indicators and 8 trading templates, I'm even going to throw in one last Special Report, which I believe every trader must be aware of right now. . .
I've put together a special report to help investors with this issue titled: Profit from the Deleveraging of the "Fed Hedge Fund" Balance Sheet
The report shows investors how to value the Dow Jones Industrial Average in the present market, how to capitalize on low volatility, while also setting up a US Dollar trading plan for not only the next 30-days, but all the way through 2011 as well. . .
There's no time to waste, because markets are not going to remain calm for long and volatility is on the eve of a large spike. . .
- WVAV - Whistler Volume Adjusted Volatility (Assisting VWAP trading.)
- WAVE PM - Whistler Active Volatility Energy Price Mass.
- WAVE AM - Whistler Active Volatility Energy Acceleration Map
- My special "Quad CCI" strategy, specifically for short-term traders. . .
Total price: $99.99, but only for limited time. . . There's no time to waste. This offer (and opportunity in markets) won't be around for long. . .
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Again, don't forget your extra free bonus: EIGHT WEEKS of LIVE FREE TRADING WEBINARS - I've scheduled the Webinars for Wednesday's from 6:00 PM EST to 8:00 PM EST and Sunday's from 5:00 PM EST to 7:00 PM EST - Again, we would love to have your come trade the open with us each week!
Registration ends on February 22, 2010... After...this offer will disappear forever...
Please note the first Webinar commences on Wednesday, February 24, 2010 at 6:00 PM EST
There is no holy grail in trading, something real traders know. Real traders know that they understand markets, economics, politics and commodities to truly profit. . .
I will show you how to easily dissect all of the aforementioned, without spending countless hours doing so.
You don't have to be a professional trader, economist, or mathematician. . . You just have to want to learn what really works.
After purchasing Volatility Illuminated Webinar package, your eBook, Indicator Package, Special Report and Webinar Registration Instructions will all be delivered instantly to your email box. . .
Again, I've also put together a special report to help investors with
this issue titled, "Profit from the Deleveraging of the "Fed Hedge
Fund" Balance Sheet"
NO-OBLIGATION 30-Day PREVIEW: By accepting this offer, you are
agreeing only to TRY the eBook Volatility Illuminated, the Custom
Trading Indicators, the Live Trading Webinars, and the Special Report
for 30-days to see if you like them. If you decide it's just not for
you, just let us know via telephone, or email and we will issue you
an immediate "no questions asked" refund. . . Moreover, you still get
to keep everything you have received! I look forward to meeting you
in the Live Trading Webinars and truly wish you the best of success
in markets. . .
Warmest Regards,
Mark Whistler
Trader, Author & Founder,
www.Wallstreetrockstar.com | www.fxVolatility.com
Proceed to Secure Paypal Gateway to PurchaseVolatility Illuminated | Special Report | Webinar
Support Is Always Available 24-Hours a day!
If you encounter any problems whatsoever, please call 1-866-960-9445 for US and Canada clients. . .
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Wallstreetrockstar.com Always feel free to email us at: Rockstar@wallstreetrockstar.com
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
About Mark Whistler
Mark Whistler is a full-time trader and author.
Whistler's books include:
- Volatility Illuminated - Empowering Stocks, Futures, Forex & Options Traders (CreateSpace, 2009)
- 2034 The Corporation Post 2012 (CreateSpace, 2009)
- Swing Trade's Bible (John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 2009) co-authored with Matt McCall
- Trade With Passion and Purpose (John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 2007)
- Trading Pairs (Wiley, 2004)
- Profit from China (Investment U|Wiley, 2006)
- Profit from Uranium (Investment U|Wiley, 2006.)
From time to time, Mark can be seen on most major financial television shows, while also occasionally contributing to TradingMarkets.com and TheFXMarkets.com, Investopedia.com and TradersChoiceFX.com. Whistler is a regular contributor to FXStreet.com, educating currency traders worldwide. In addition, Mark is the founder of WallStreetRockStar.com, fxVolatility.com and InstitutionalIndexResearch.com. Mr. Whistler founded and operates EatsForTheStreets.com and the MarkWhistlerGallery.com.
Introducing the Live Webinar INTERNATIONAL Guest Expert Panalists - Each Helping Present Unique Trading Education, Strategy and Insights in the Volatility Illuminated LIVE Webinar Series
Jonathan Crowell | Trader | Denver , Colorado
Mr. Crowell has over 20
years in the trading business. He has extensive experience in
compliance and trading risk management. While with Marketwise
Securities he designed their risk management and compliance systems
from the ground up. He originally designed the software to protect
the firm from client losses, as the system evolved he created a
"first of it's kind" risk management system that taught the traders
to manage risk better. As a principle of the firm's trading
operations he was able to significantly reduce client risk and
increase trading revenue during a period when the company's online
sales grew almost ten-times over. Soon after MarketWise was
purchased, Mr. Crowell started his own trading company focused on
professional and institutional traders. Jonathan managed a team of 20
successful professional traders by focusing their trading strategies
on minimizing risk, thus increasing the confidence of each trader.
His company grew every year in a hyper competitive and declining
market. After his company was sold he designed and developed a
software product that consolidated firm's trading data and preformed
compliance and risk surveillance on trading activity, to help banks
and brokerage firms identify problematic patterns.
Kirill Melentiev | Professional Trader | Moscow , Russia
During his final year of
university at Finance Academy of RF, Mr. Melentiev commenced his
trading career as a Junior Forex and Money Market trader at a Moscow
subsidiary of one of the largest International banks in the world.
With the inevitable decision to step out on his own, Mr. Melentiev
left the colossal bank in October of 2009 and now manages a private
start-up Forex fund in Moscow, Russia. In addition, Kirill is a
talented young photographer, featured as one of the Top 10 Upcoming
Artists of the year on www.markwhistlergallery.com.
Marcel Ter Beek | Professional Trader | PH.D Physics
Obtained B.Sc. in Chemistry and B.Sc. in Chemical Engineering from U.C. Berkeley, M.Sc. in Chemical Physics from University of Oregon, and did all of the research for a PhD in Chemical Physics at the University of Texas, Austin (but did not write the thesis to complete the degree). Author of numerous technical articles and holder of 20 U.S. patents, Marcel is now a private futures and currency trader. Mr. ter Beek uses his analytical skills to identify high probability trades using fundamental economic analysis and Market Profile techniques to identify market environments and decision zones, and the Volatility Illuminated principles to trigger and manage the trades. The focus is on high probability trades with tight stops for consistent returns.
Merrill McSpadden | Professional Trader | Vancouver, Canada
Merrill McSpadden is a full time trader, scientist, and software developer, producing 19 Expert Advisor Programs (EAs) and 3 Indicators throughout his trading career. Prior to trading professionally, Merrill taught psychology, statistics, reading, self-improvement, and computer programming. As a cognitive psychologist, Merrill also studied human performance and memory, developing a mathematical model of human reasoning, which he is currently researching in application to trading and markets. Inn addition, throughout Mr. McSpadden's esteemed 38-years of software development, just a few of his projects have included collecting and analyzing construction, transportation, health care, pain management, human reasoning, ESP and Forex data. Merrill is now using his tenured psychology and software development background to assist traders in understanding the flow of markets within probability and statistics, while helping to find low risk/ high probability trading opportunities daily.
Steven Tsai | Professional | New York City
Graduate of Michigan State University in May of 2006 with a B.A. in Political Science with pre-law and a minor in Economics. Steven is a private full time trader in equities and Forex markets in New York City. Mr. Tsai is self-taught trader by learning and analyzing all aspects of markets from technical analysis to market psychology. In addition, Steven emphasizes bold money management, volatility-driven technicals, and Prospect Theory, focusing on how traders perceive opportunity within markets, based on risk and probability.
Limit of Liability/Disclaimer of Warranty (EXTENDED)
PairsTrader.com, Inc. LLC, [WallStreetRockStar.com, FXVolatility.com and Mark Whistler] ("Company") is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. The principals, analysts and employees or affiliates of Company may hold positions in the stocks, currencies and/or industries discussed here.
You understand and acknowledge that there is a very high degree of risk involved in trading securities and/or currencies.
The Company, the authors, the publisher, and all affiliates of Company assume no responsibility or liability for your trading and investment results. Factual statements on the Company's website, or in its publications, are made as of the date stated and are subject to change without notice. It should not be assumed that the methods, techniques, or indicators presented in these products will be profitable or that they will not result in losses. Past results of any individual trader or trading system published by Company are not indicative of future returns by that trader or system, and are not indicative of future returns which be realized by you.
In addition, the indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features of Company's products (collectively, the "Information") are provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice.
Examples presented on Company's website are for educational purposes only. Such setups are not solicitations of any order to buy or sell. Accordingly, you should not rely solely on the Information in making any investment. Rather, you should use the Information only as a starting point for doing additional independent research in order to allow you to form your own opinion regarding investments. You should always check with your licensed financial advisor and tax adviser to determine the suitability of any investment.
HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN INHERENT LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING AND MAY NOT BE IMPACTED BY BROKERAGE AND OTHER SLIPPAGE FEES. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT ACTUALLY BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER- OR OVERCOMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
ADDITIONAL NOTICE TO FOREX/CURRENCY TRADERS
Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading and seek advice from an independent financial adviser if you have any doubts.
THE INFORMATION AND STRATEGIES IN THIS BOOK DO NOT MAKE ANY PROMISE, OR GUARANTEE. MARKET CONDITIONS CONTINUALLY CHANGE AND THUS, INFORMATION PROVIDED IN VOLATILITY UNLIMITED COULD CHANGE AS WELL.
YOU SHOULD SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE PROACTIVELY, DURING AND AFTER ATTEMPTING TO IMPLEMENT ANY STRATEGY/INFORMATION NEW TO YOU AND YOUR TRADING KNOWLEDGE, OR STYLE.
NEARLY 95% OF ALL RETAIL TRADERS LOSE.
PLEASE DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRADE FOREX IF YOU FEEL THE AFOREMENTIONED EVEN REMOTELY APPROACHES YOUR RISK TOLERANCE. THE BEST ADVICE TO MOST INDIVIDUAL'S CONSIDERING TRADING FOREX IS UNLESS YOU HAVE PROFESSIONAL HELP - DON'T.
Forex Education and Articles
By Real Traders | For Real Traders
February | 2010 
"Virtue does not come from wealth, but. . .
wealth, and every other good thing which men have. . . comes from
virtue." -- Socrates
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Reader Response
July 1, 2009
Dear Mark,
Your book is very powerful, a real game changer... an absolute work of genius."
N e w t o n illuminated natural forces, Einstein illuminated energy and now your work/book has finally broke through and illuminated the forces and energy behind price action and volatility in the markets... (Brilliant!)
On a personal note, my office book shelves are filled with trading books on all the popular subjects... personal psychology, money management, fundamental and analysis, technical analysis, etc... and at the end of the day, they start to all pretty much sound the same... I am actually embarrassed to admit how much time and effort I have put toward trying to learn and make all that stuff work.
Then comes along your book... The first read instantly changed my whole way of thinking and my approach to markets...
And yes, the chapter on Dr. WaterMelon Stuffer...really pulled the curtain back, and your analogy made perfect sense.
Chad V
Las Vegas, Nevada
Author | Volatility Illuminated
