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Long Term Forex Forecasts - From ActionForex.com

It's important to look at the big picture no matter what markets, and what time frame you are trading. There's no difference in trading Forex. Sometimes, one may wonder why a short term trend halts and reverses at a certain level before knowing that it's an important long term support/resistance, or a projection level in play. On the other hand, forex traders are always advised to pay attention to fundamentals like inflation forecasts, growth and monetary policy in medium to longer terms.

This sections provides long term forecasts reports written by selected external contributors around the world. A wide range of topics will be covered, including global economy and monetary policies. In addition, some reports also contains long term technical analysis of specific forex pairs. The long term forecasts reports are usually "longer" in length comparing to dailies and weeklies. But they definitely worth the read!

Forex Fundamental Analysis Reports from ActionForex.com RSS Long Term Forecasts Reports RSS

August Monthly Forecast: Setting up for the Fall

Long Term Forecasts | Written by Trade The News | Aug 05 09 15:36 GMT |

With a modicum of risk appetite returning and the VIX volatility index registering the lowest level of fear since the credit market crisis began, equities have rebounded significantly in the past five months. Equity markets took another leg higher in the last month, confounding some bears, moving major indices into positive territory for the year. The Dow garnered a lot of headlines when it broke above 9000, and the S&P500 is streaking toward the 1000 mark as July posted its best result in 20 years, prompting PIMCO CEO Mohamed El-Erian to warn that the July rally in equities appears to be a "sugar rush." Meanwhile, treasury yields have crept higher in the face of relentless new supply and as central banks have remained silent about extending asset purchase plans. Commodities ground sideways through July but maintained an underlying bullish tone as the greenback demonstrated further weakness. As the climb up the wall of worry continues, August may prove to be an inflection point, as events this month may rekindle worries about the nascent recovery as we head into the fall.

Global Markets: From Stablization to Re-evaluation - Financial Markets Wake Up

Long Term Forecasts | Written by TD Bank Financial Group | Jul 15 09 19:16 GMT |

Some of the key themes prevailing over the past month since our last publication include a resurgence of risk aversion, increased conjecture over U.S. dollar diversification and a general reassessment of asset prices to more closely align with the prevailing economic reality. To this end, it would seem as though global financial markets continue to conduct themselves in a reactionary mode that more closely resembles a form of interpretive dance rather than a concrete directional view. In this regard, looking back at our last Global Markets forecast our assumption that financial markets had gotten ahead of economic reality came to fruition. Further, our expectations for U.S. 10- year bonds to hit a cyclical low of 3.25% in Q4-2009 is approaching quicker than we had anticipated, with the current yield hovering closely above that target.

International Financial Outlook July, 2009

Long Term Forecasts | Written by Lloyds TSB | Jul 15 09 19:11 GMT |

Currency movements in the past month are suggesting doubt about whether the global economy is on a smooth glide path to recovery, the view that many participants had seemed to hold. Although currency volatility is still much less than at the start of the year, it has risen recently. The reason: monthly economic data are suggesting that the growth momentum has eased and could even reverse in some countries. This is our underlying view; economic conditions have improved appreciably but are still not yet consistent with anything like a broad-based or sustainable economic recovery.

Financial Markets Monthly - July 2009

Long Term Forecasts | Written by RBC Financial Group | Jul 09 09 18:41 GMT |

The global economy remains in rough shape with data on second quarter activity showing some improvement but not enough to signal the end of the recession. Importantly, however, the tenor of economic forecasts has changed and after a period of persistent downward revisions to the growth outlook, projections are being nudged up. Even the Federal Reserve in its June policy statement sounded slightly more upbeat adding emphasis to its view that the economy's contraction is showing signs of slowing. International agencies, like the OECD and IMF, have upgraded their 2010 growth forecasts. And, global economic activity, as measured by ISM indices for manufacturing and service sector companies, is showing improvement with the all-industry measure hitting its highest level since August 2008 in June.

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